Week three of the NFL season is here, which means its time to gamble. I got to say, this is the best time of the year. Nothing will ever top early season football Sundays. All of your pre season takes are still alive, if not hanging by a thread, and your favorite team still holds a world of possibilities. Time to get into this weeks bets. I do put my own money on these bets. All odds are from BetMGM sportsbook. Last week we were looking great on all four bets heading into the fourth quarter of each game, then the ravens collapsed, and the rams allowed a back door cover. we move to 3-5 on the season, for a net -2.35 units.
Bet 1: Ravens -2.5 at Patriots -110
Yes, I am coming back to the Ravens once again. After a disappointing collapse against Miami last week, it seems like Vegas doesn’t have any faith in the team. Less than a field goal against a Pats team that has looked pretty bad through two weeks baffles me. With J.K. Dobbins making his season debut, the Ravens rushing attack should get a jolt of electricity after an underwhelming start to the season. Sharp money is on the Patriots, which gives me a little pause, but I cannot pass up on this line, especially since it moved to under a field goal.
Bet 2: Bills at Dolphins over 53 -110
While I don’t necessarily think the Dolphins are an offensive juggernaut now, the Bills defense is awfully banged up. They will be without their CB1, CB2, FS1 and a key rotational piece on the interior defensive line. The Bills offense is firing on all cylinders. I don’t expect a ton of quality defense to be played in this game. The Dolphins could always get outcoached, however I feel a high scoring loss is more likely. Of course, you never make these bets expecting to lose, do you?
Bet 3: Chiefs -5.5 at Colts -110
Everyone is down on the Colts offense, for good reason, but that is not the reason I think KC will cover this game. The reason is Gus Bradley. Bradley is perhaps the only defensive play caller in the league still calling the legion of boom era defense, a recipe for disaster against Patrick Mahomes. The defense in question is essentially what a lot of us call in Madden. Bradley’s game plan of basically spamming single high coverages (cover three and cover one) has not been successful against Mahomes. As Raiders defensive coordinator the last two years, Bradley’s defense has given up an average of 39 points against KC. I don’t trust the Colts to put up 20 points let alone anything close to what the Chiefs will score.
Bet 4: Eagles at Commanders over 47.5 -110
There are two sides to Carson Wentz. The Wentz who completes his deep passes and the one that throws those deep passes to defenders. The outcome of this game heavily depends on which Carson Wentz shows up to play on Sunday. The Eagles have shown they can score against anyone, let alone an underwhelming commanders defense. In not only a divisional game, but a revenge game for Wentz, this game should have some fireworks. Either that, or its an ugly blowout. I will be taking the side of the fireworks.
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