The Toledo Rockets take on the Buffalo Bulls at home on Tuesday night. Toledo is 7-1, and they’re 4-0 in conference games after knocking off Miami-Ohio 21-17 last week. Buffalo is 3-5, recently beating Kent 24-6 on the road. The Bulls got off to an awful start, but they come into Toledo, having won three of their previous four. They also have an active three-game winning streak versus the Rockets entering Tuesday’s contest, but it won’t be easy to make it four.
Will Toledo continue dominating the MAC, or will Buffalo pull off an improbable upset to remain in bowl contention?
— Toledo Football (@ToledoFB) October 26, 2023
|Buffalo||+15.5 (-110)||Over 51.5 (-105)||+500|
|Toledo||-15.5 (-110)||Under 51.5 (-115)||-700|
Odds Courtesy of DraftKings, subject to change*
- Fixture: Buffalo vs Toledo
- Date and Time: October 31, 2023 at 7:30 p.m. EST
- Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
- Weather Forecast: Partially Cloudy, 35 degrees
The Bulls are subpar in the passing game, but their offense has done just enough recently. Buffalo has engaged in some low-scoring affairs, but out of their last four games, they’ve committed one or zero turnovers in three, disregarding a rough performance versus Bowling Green.
On defense, the Bulls were excellent last week, holding Kent State to 78 passing yards and 86 rushing yards. They give up only 207.8 yards per game, which is better than the college football average of 227.8. They also allow 10.9 yards per completion, which is the 32nd-fewest in the country. Overall, they haven’t been great, but last week is a positive sign.
The Rockets are a ground-and-pound team, ranked ninth in yards per rush with 5.5 per carry. They also average 42.4 rushing attempts per contest, which is the 15th-highest in the nation. Regarding total yards, they average the third-most rushing yards per game, with 234.2 yards on the ground on average. They are efficient in the passing game, too, but they love to run the ball, and that shouldn’t change versus the Bulls.
The Rockets are the much stronger team, especially offensively, but they have covered just one of their past six games. On the other side, Buffalo has done well against the spread, but the best bet here is the under. The under has hit in the Bulls’ previous four and in the Rockets’ last two. Toledo’s heavy run game plan should shave a lot of time off the clock, and their defense should contain Buffalo, so expect fewer than 52 points in this one.
Pick: Under 51.5 (-115)
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About the Author
Lucas Abrenica has worked as a sports betting writer for over three years, with the aim of helping both experienced and casual sports bettors in their decision-making. He uses his own personal background as a bettor to help guide the information and advice in his articles.