Underdog’s Best Ball Mania and other tournaments have taken off like wildfire. While we sit here in the dog days of summer, we can draft Best Ball teams and potentially become a millionaire! Today we look at the best value in Best Ball:
Lamar Jackson, QB Ravens (ADP 52.8)
On a week-to-week basis, Lamar Jackson offers as much upside as any quarterback in Fantasy Football not named Josh Allen. For comparison sakes, Josh Allen goes early-mid 3rd round in Best Ball drafts, and Lamar Jackson is selected in the mid-late 5th round range. One of my favorite stacks in Best Ball is Lamar Jackson/Mark Andrews, and I eagerly pay the current price tag.
Miles Sanders, RB Eagles (ADP 79.8)
One of the screaming values in Best Ball is Miles Sanders. What I find most odd about this, I expected Sanders to rise in ADP. He has slightly, but nothing to the point that the market has caught up with his value. The Philadelphia Eagles led the NFL in rushing touchdowns in 2021. Miles Sanders scored zero. Something has to give here.
Breece Hall, RB Jets (ADP 47.9) and Garrett Wilson, WR Jets (ADP 105.1)
One Best Ball trend that is identifiable early on is that rookies are undervalued. The market believed this to be a poor rookie crop and has not course-corrected. Also, the Jets tend to have a draft ‘stink’ to them, and it doesn’t appear that the market believes in a resurgence in the Big Apple. As summer goes along, I would expect to see the ADP on both Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson to rise over a round. Get your shares now.
Saquon Barkley, RB Giants (ADP 21.5)
The market is correcting somewhat on Saquon Barkley, as it did earlier this off-season with Aaron Jones. There was a time when you could select Aaron Jones in the 3rd round. Now that is not the case. You once could select Saquon Barkley in the 3rd round, but now drafters are catching up. I still believe a late-2nd round selection on Barkley is a good value, just not what it once was.
George Kittle, TE 49ers (ADP 50)
Best Ball drafters were selecting George Kittle in the late 2nd/early 3rd round range with regularity a year ago. What has changed? You get a QB who might lead to a more explosive offense, and you drop him two rounds? I believe Kittle suffering an injury in 2021 leads to recency bias, allowing him to slide too far in drafts.
Cam Akers (ADP 44.7)
Cam Akers rushed back from an Achilles injury to play in the post-season a year ago. Drafters viewed Cam Akers as a 2nd round pick in Best Ball drafts a year ago. Fast forward a year, and now you can select him in the 4th round. Scared money doesn’t make money. Take the plunge on Cam Akers coming back healthy in 2022.
Drake London (ADP 70.8)
I am going back to the well on rookie ADP. If Drake London can stay healthy, there is no way he does not outperform this ADP. You must factor in Kyle Pitts when looking at the target distribution. Even so, Drake London should receive triple-digit targets his rookie season. I understand there is some fluidity to the Falcon’s quarterback position, but a late 6th round price tag is a bargain for a player as talented as Drake London.
AJ Dillon (ADP 72.9)
While Aaron Jones’ ADP continues to climb, AJ Dillon’s remains the same. We expect the Packer’s offense to be more focused on the run game and to get the backs involved in the passing game. Dillon feels like a safe bet and a steal in the 7th round.
Kirk Cousins (ADP 117.4)
Telling someone to draft Kirk Cousins is like telling them to go to the dentist. We know that it’s something that we should do, just not something we enjoy. I believe the Minnesota Vikings offense will be improved in 2022 and will be significantly more pass-heavy. I don’t see much difference between Kirk Cousins and Matthew Stafford, and you can select Kirk Cousins two rounds later.
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