Gridiron Heroics
    Facebook Twitter Instagram
    Trending
    • Houston Texans Sign Former AFC Rival’s Running Back
    • Buffalo Bills Sign Former New England Patriots Running Back
    • Top Three Saints Draft Needs After First Week of Free Agency
    • Las Vegas Raiders Sign Former First-Round Tight End
    • Las Vegas Raiders Set To Sign Former Buffalo Bills Safety
    • New York Giants Set To Sign Cornerback To 3-Year Deal
    • Buffalo Bills Sign Former Miami Dolphins Wide Receiver
    • Arizona Cardinals Sign Wide Receiver To Two-Year Deal
    • About Us
    • Contact Us
    • Our Writers
    • Write for Gridiron Heroics
    Facebook Twitter Instagram
    Gridiron Heroics
    JOIN OUR FB GROUP
    Gridiron Heroics
    Home»Betting»Prime Picks and Props for TNF Week 6: Commanders vs Bears
    Betting

    Prime Picks and Props for TNF Week 6: Commanders vs Bears

    Kyle NishidaBy Kyle NishidaOctober 12, 2022Updated:December 12, 2022No Comments4 Mins Read
    Facebook Twitter Pinterest LinkedIn Tumblr Email
    Week 6 Prime Picks
    Washington Commanders quarterback Carson Wentz throws to a receiver in the second half of an NFL football game against the Tennessee Titans, Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022, in Landover, Md. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
    Share
    Facebook Twitter LinkedIn Pinterest Email

    After a successful Week 5, it time for the Week 6 installment of Thursday Night Football Prime Picks and Props. Unfortunately, TNF once again features a battle between teams with horrendous offenses. It’s the 1-4 Washington Commanders facing the 2-3 Chicago Bears.

    This game is virtually a pick’em in the eyes of the oddsmakers. On DraftKings, the Bears are 1-point home favorites with the game total sitting at 38 points. Chicago is -115 on the moneyline while Washington is -105. The spread has bounced swung back and forth since it opened, and it will likely continue all the way up until gametime.

    In terms of injuries, the Bears come into this Week 6 contest in much better shape than the Commanders. Their injury report only featured three players. Meanwhile, Washington listed eight players on their injury report; including quarterback Carson Wentz, receiver Jahan Dotson and tight end Logan Thomas. All eight were listed as questionable as of Tuesday.

    Notable Stats/Betting Trends

    • Bears are 6th worst in NFL in points per game (17.2); Commanders are 7th worst (18.0)
    • Commanders are 10th in passing yards per game (252.6 ypg); Bears are last (116.8 ypg)
    • Bears are 5th in rushing yards per game (157.4 ypg); Commanders are 5th worst (89.0 ypg)
    • The UNDER has hit three out of five times for both sides.
    • The UNDER has hit in four out of five Thursday games this year
    • Washington is 1-4 SU and ATS / Chicago is 2-2-1 ATS

    Prime Picks

    Week 6 Prime Picks
    Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (1) throws a pass during the first half of an NFL football game against the Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Bruce Kluckhohn)
    THE PRIME PICK: CHICAGO BEARS -1 (-110).

    On paper, the Commanders are the slightly better team on both sides of the ball. However, fading Carson Wentz, which is referenced weekly on the Gridiron Heroics Football Show, has been profitable. Wentz and the offense are prone to making mistakes, and Washington doesn’t force opponents into making any.

    The Commanders average 1.6 giveaways per game, and have only forced opponents into one turnover combined all season. The Bears do turn it over 1.6 times per game, but they also average 1.6 takeaways per game. In a game that’s projected to be close, the prime pick is backing the team with the better turnover margin.

    BEST GAME PROP: Largest Lead of Game UNDER 13.5 (-105 DK).

    Originally, the number was 14.5. However, it has been bet down (as it should have). However, it is still worth taking it at 13.5. Building a 14-point lead is a tall task for these two offensively challenged teams. This is a 1-point spread. So, the expectation is this game will be close. Also, neither team has held a lead of at least 15 points this season. Washington’s had the largest lead of the season between the two teams. They had a 14-3 advantage in Week 1 over Jacksonville Jaguars.

    FAVORITE PLAYER PROP: QB Carson Wentz OVER 0.5 Interceptions (-125 DK)

    Six of the Commanders’ eight giveaways this year have been Carson Wentz interceptions. He’s thrown at least one interception in four of five games this season. Meanwhile, the Bears defense has forced an interception in three out of five games. With cornerback Jaylon Johnson likely returning from injury Thursday, Chicago’s secondary becomes even more lethal. Wentz is going to take risks with the football, and it’s likely the Bears will capitalize on one of his errant throws.

    ANOTHER PLAYER PROP: QB Justin Fields UNDER 23.5 Pass Attempts (-105 DK)

    This is a must bet. Fields has not attempted 24 passes in a game yet this season. The Bears simply do not rely on the passing game because their receiving group isn’t great, their pass blocking is poor, and Fields has not been accurate (55.7 completion %). Also, many called passing plays turn into runs because Fields scrambles for yards a lot. The Bears won’t deviate from this strategy against the Commanders.

    LONGSHOT PROP: 1st Half Result (3 Way) – TIE (+600)

    The Bears are 0-5 SU in the first half of games while the Commanders are 1-4 SU in the first half. If both these teams are terrible first half performers, why not bet on them to go into halftime tied? There’s already been a tie on a Thursday night (Week 1 – Bills vs Rams). Also, teams have been separated by 1.8 points on average through five Thursday games this season. It’s not completely out of the question a halftime tie occurs.  

    Related

    For More Great Football Content

    Follow us on Twitter at @GridironHeroics for more great content. We appreciate you taking time to read our articles. To interact more with our community and keep up to date on the latest in Football news, JOIN OUR FREE FACEBOOK GROUP by CLICKING HERE

    Checkout our latest podcast!

    [powerpress_playlist limit=1]
    Carson Wentz Chicago Bears Justin Fields Prime Picks Thursday Night Football Washington Commanders
    Share. Facebook Twitter Pinterest LinkedIn Tumblr Email
    Kyle Nishida

    Kyle is former longtime Radio Producer in Portland, OR. He'll be covering College Football & NFL Betting from the West Coast. You can see his comments on CFB, NFL, and more on Twitter @Kyle_Nishida

    Leave A Reply Cancel Reply

    AFC South

    Houston Texans Sign Former AFC Rival’s Running Back

    By Jordan SiglerMarch 21, 20230
    AFC East

    Buffalo Bills Sign Former New England Patriots Running Back

    By Jordan SiglerMarch 21, 20230
    New Orleans Saints

    Top Three Saints Draft Needs After First Week of Free Agency

    By Tyler EschetteMarch 20, 20230
    AFC West

    Las Vegas Raiders Sign Former First-Round Tight End

    By Jordan SiglerMarch 20, 20230
    FOLLOW US
    • Facebook
    • Twitter
    READ MORE
    2022 college football season 2022 Fantasy Football 2022 NFL season Arizona Cardinals Baltimore Ravens Big Ten Browns Buffalo Bills BYU BYU Cougars BYU Defense BYU football BYU Offense Carolina Panthers Chicago Bears Cincinnati Bengals Cleveland Browns College Football Dallas Cowboys Denver Broncos Detroit Lions Fantasy Football Football Green Bay Packers Jalen Hurts Kansas City Chiefs Las Vegas Raiders Los Angeles Chargers LSU Tigers Miami Dolphins Minnesota Vikings New England Patriots New Orleans Saints New York Giants NFL Ohio State Buckeyes Patrick Mahomes Philadelphia Eagles Pittsburgh Steelers San Francisco 49ers Seattle Seahawks SEC Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tom Brady Washington Commanders
    Facebook Twitter Instagram Pinterest
    © 2023 ThemeSphere. Designed by ThemeSphere.

    Type above and press Enter to search. Press Esc to cancel.