Falcons (+6) at Vikings
It’s officially desperation time for Kirk Cousins and the Falcons, who are in serious danger of losing the NFC South lead to Tampa Bay if they lose this game. Despite taking the loss, Atlanta played well in last week’s game against the Chargers, especially on defense. The Falcons held the Chargers to just 187 yards of offense and only 10 first downs. They would have won the game if Kirk Cousins had not of thrown 4 interceptions—one of which was returned for a touchdown.
Minnesota did not play well in their last game against Arizona, even though they were able to come away with the victory. The Vikings were held to just 273 total yards and Aaron Jones was completely held in check on the ground (5 carries for 22 yards and a fumble). Minnesota’s wins have frequently been close as of late with 3 of their last 4 wins coming by 5 points or less. Vikings win but fail to cover.
Vikings win 27-24
Jets at Dolphins (-6)
Tork Mason/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin
The Jets have lost 8 of their last 9 games after the starting the season off 2-1. They are absolutely horrible on the road, having only won once away from home all season and that was against the 3-9 Titans back in Week 2. New York has proven again and again that they are one of the worst teams in the league despite the expectations that some people had for them when the season began. They are also expected to be shorthanded this weekend with the likes of Breece Hall and Sauce Gardner listed as doubtful.
Miami is still alive for a Wild Card spot even though they are several games behind the Denver Broncos who currently occupy the 7th-seed. The Dolphins’ schedule is favorable through the final five weeks of the season, including two meetings with the lowly Jets. Miami has been quite good at home this season in games where Tua Tagovailoa plays. Look for them to keep their playoff hopes alive with a comfortable win over Aaron Rodgers and company.
Dolphins win 27-17
Bills (-3.5) at Rams
Buffalo is easily the hottest team in the AFC, having fired off seven wins in a row dating back to early October. As good as Josh Allen and The Bills’ offense has been during their winning streak, their defense has flown under the radar. Buffalo has held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 21 points or less, and they are also the 6th-best scoring defense in the NFL over the course of the entire season, giving up only 18.7 points per game.
The Rams’ most recent wins have come against the 3-10 Patriots and the 4-8 Saints. They have struggled against good teams throughout most of the year. Buffalo to win and cover 3.5 points is the best bet of Week 14.
Bills win 30-23
Chargers (+4) at Chiefs
Kansas City’s last three wins have come by 3 points or less, two of them being against the 3-9 Panthers and the 2-10 Raiders. They have also been held to 21 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games which could prove to be an issue when going against the best scoring defense in the NFL.
The majority of the matchups between Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert have been very close with 6 of their 8 meetings being decided by a touchdown or less. The Chiefs will find a way to win it late, but the Chargers’ defense is good enough to keep it close to the end.
Chiefs win 24-23
Bengals at Cowboys (+5.5)
The Cowboys are coming off 10 days of rest having not played since Thanksgiving. Their offense has played well in their last two games, both of which were victories. Say what you will but Cooper Rush is 7-3 in his career as a starter with 13 touchdowns to 7 interceptions and 2,627 passing yards.
Meanwhile, Cincinnati has a terrible defense that is easily exploitable. The Bengals give up the 2nd-most points per game of any team in the league (28.3) and rank near the bottom of the NFL in almost all defensive categories. They have given up 34 points or more in 4 of their last 5 games, all of which were losses. Cincy has enough offense to come away with a victory, but not enough defense for it not to be close.
Bengals win 30-27
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