The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-3) will face the (#16) Ole Miss Rebels (4-1) on Saturday night. Arkansas has struggled to start SEC play, losing both their first games, including last Saturday’s defeat to the Texas A&M Aggies, 34-22. The Razorbacks mustered just 174 total yards in the loss. Meanwhile, Ole Miss took down the LSU Tigers 55-49 in a shootout. The Rebels outscored the Tigers 21-7 in the fourth quarter.
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. (#16) Ole Miss Rebels Odds and Match Details
Team | Spread | Total | MoneyLine |
Arkansas | +11
-109 |
O62.5
-112 |
+320 |
Ole Miss | -11
-111 |
U62.5
-108 |
-455 |
** Odds Subject to Change** |
Fixture: Arkansas vs. Ole Miss
Date and Time: October 7, 2023, at 7:30 p.m. EST
Location: Vaught-Hemmingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Field Surface: Natural Grass
Weather: Sunny, 65 degrees
Key Stats
Arkansas Razorbacks
The Arkansas Razorbacks have scored 33.6 points per game, the seventh-best mark in the SEC. Star quarterback K.J. Jefferson has played well, throwing for 1,050 yards and ten scores against four picks. However, he averages just 1.9 yards per rush attempt on 65 attempts. Jefferson and the Razorbacks are in the bottom third of the SEC in rushing yards per game (127) and rushing yards per attempt (3.2). Arkansas is last in the SEC in yards per game and yards per play but does a good job holding onto the football.
Arkansas gives up 25 points per game on defense. They are also in the bottom half of the SEC in passing yards allowed, touchdowns allowed per game, and opponent’s completion percentage. However, they are much better against the rush, allowing just 3.4 yards per attempt. They also lead the SEC in turnovers forced per game (2.4).
Ole Miss Rebels
The Ole Miss Rebels score a conference-best 44.6 points per game. Quarterback Jaxson Dart has been electric, throwing for 1,485 yards and 11 touchdowns against two picks. He has also added 269 yards and four scores on the ground. Ole Miss is second to just LSU for the most yards per game and yards per play within the conference. Additionally, They remain tied with Missouri for the fewest turnovers committed per game in the SEC.
Ole Miss allows 24.6 points per game, the ninth-highest mark in the SEC. Opposing passers have done well against the Rebels, completing 62% of their passes for 264 yards per game. However, they keep opponents to just 3.4 yards per rush attempt. They allow the third most yards per game within the SEC but are slightly better in yards allowed per play.
Game Prediction
I like the over in this SEC tilt. K.J. Jefferson and the Arkansas Razorbacks are off to a brutal start, but history says they will improve. Jefferson threw for 24 touchdowns against five picks in 2022 while also being effective with his legs. He should revert to his old self against a less-than-stellar Ole Miss defense. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is a fantastic offense, especially in the passing game. With the Arkansas secondary being suspect, let’s roll with the over in this late-night matchup.