The Seattle Seahawks’ decision to sign quarterback Sam Darnold has been labeled the riskiest move of the 2025 NFL offseason. After trading former starter Geno Smith to the Las Vegas Raiders, Seattle handed Darnold a three-year, $100.5 million contract, betting on his potential despite his inconsistent track record.
Darnold, a seven-year veteran, has had one standout season in his career, raising questions about his ability to lead a franchise. Bleacher Report ranked this move as the biggest gamble of the offseason, citing its potential to backfire and cost jobs in Seattle. While the financial investment is considered reasonable for a starting quarterback, Darnold’s history of struggles with pressure and limited success adds considerable uncertainty.

The Seahawks are banking on the familiarity between Darnold and new offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, who worked with him in San Francisco. Kubiak is expected to implement a run-heavy offense featuring Kenneth Walker III and Zach Charbonnet, which could alleviate some of the pressure on Darnold. This system may provide the stability he needs to perform at a higher level, but it remains a significant risk.
Critics highlight Darnold’s inconsistency, particularly his struggles in high-pressure situations. However, his Pro Bowl campaign in 2024 offered glimpses of his potential, fueling hope that he can replicate that success in Seattle. If Darnold can thrive under Kubiak’s system and maintain consistent performances, the Seahawks’ gamble could pay off in the long term.
Seattle Seahawks’ Sam Darnold Decision Named as Riskiest Move of NFL Offseason

As it stands, Seattle’s decision to sign Darnold was a pretty big risk for the franchise. This is detailed more in an analysis by Kristopher Knox for Bleacher Report.
Unable to work out an extension with Smith this offseason, the Seahawks jettisoned him to the Las Vegas Raiders before turning to Darnold in free agency. The land Darnold, they handed out a three-year, $100.5 million deal that includes $55 million guaranteed.
While the financial investment isn’t egregious for a starting quarterback, it’s a lot for a seven-year veteran with exactly one good season on his resume.
A couple of things are potentially concerning about this deal. For one, Darnold thrived in 2024 under Vikings head coach Kevin O’Connell and with top-tier pass-catchers like Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson. Outside of that support system, he’s been an average-at-best player his entire career.
Secondly, Darnold appeared to revert to his previous form when faced with heavy pressure in Minnesota’s regular-season finale and in the playoffs. He’s now going to a team with a lesser supporting cast and with some question marks along the interior offensive line.
Seattle’s 2025 season hinges on Darnold’s ability to lead the team and deliver results. With a strong supporting cast and a tailored offensive scheme, the team is cautiously optimistic that this bold move will yield positive results.

Ultimately, the Seahawks’ decision represents a high-risk, high-reward strategy. Whether it leads to redemption or regret will be determined as the season unfolds.

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