The window officially opened on January 6, and each NFL team has until May 1 to decide whether to exercise or decline the fully guaranteed 5th-year options for first-round picks from the 2022 NFL Draft class for the 2026 season. The values are determined based on four unique tiers: basic, playtime, one Pro Bowl, and multiple Pro Bowl selections. Over The Cap goes through each tier in detail and a projected salary for each player.
We will focus on picks 9-16.
Also Read: NFL 5th-Year Option Predictions for the 2022 NFL Draft Class: Picks 1-8
9th Pick: Seattle Seahawks LT (OL) Charles Cross: $18,427,000
Cross had a solid rookie season. He allowed 48 pressures, 37 hurries, four QB hits, and seven sacks while posting a 63.9 pass blocking, a 62.8 run blocking, and a 63.7 overall PFF grade in 17 starts.
Cross had a solid second season after battling an injury earlier in the season, and upon returning, improved in pass protection but took a slight step back in run blocking. He allowed 42 pressures, 31 hurries, five QB hits, and six sacks while posting a 69.7 pass blocking, a 58.3 run blocking, and a 67.6 overall PFF grade in 14 starts. He missed three games (Weeks 2-5) with a foot injury.
Cross broke out in his third season, improving in pass protection and run blocking. He allowed 47 pressures, 36 hurries, five QB hits, and six sacks while boasting an 81.3 pass blocking, a 77.9 run blocking, and an 82.5 overall PFF grade in 17 starts.
PREDICTION: Seattle EXERCISES his 5th-year option because Cross broke out in his third season and has developed into a talented and reliable left tackle who will continue to improve and get better.
10th Pick: New York Jets WR Garrett Wilson: $16,633,000
Wilson had a great rookie season and was named Offensive Rookie of the Year. He caught 83 passes on 147 targets for 1,103 yards and four touchdowns in 17 games and 12 starts.
Wilson had a great second season. He caught 95 passes on 168 targets for 1,042 yards and three touchdowns in 17 starts.
Wilson had his best statistical season in his third season, boasting career-highs in receptions, yards, and touchdowns. He caught 101 passes on 154 targets for 1,104 yards and seven touchdowns in 17 starts.
PREDICTION: New York EXERCISES his 5th-year option because Wilson has developed into a star wide receiver and the team’s WR1 or WR2 of the future.
11th Pick: New Orleans Saints WR Chris Olave: $15,161,000
Olave had a great rookie season. He caught 72 passes on 119 targets for 1,042 yards and four touchdowns in 15 games and nine starts. He missed Week 6 with a concussion and Week 16 with a hamstring injury.
Olave had his best statistical season in his third season, boasting career-highs in receptions, targets, yards, and touchdowns. He caught 87 passes on 138 targets for 1,123 yards and five touchdowns in 16 games and 11 starts. He suffered the second concussion of his NFL career in Week 12 but did not miss any time and missed Week 14 with an ankle injury.
Olave missed half of his third season because of two concussions. He caught 32 passes on 44 targets for 400 yards and one touchdown in eight starts. His first concussion came in Week 6, causing him to miss Week 7, and his second occurred in Week 9, causing him to miss their final eight games.
PREDICTION: New Orleans EXERCISES his 5th-year option because Olave had developed into a star wide receiver and the team’s WR1 or WR2 of the future. However, one thing to keep an eye out for is that he has suffered four concussions in his first three NFL seasons, which is very concerning, especially since he missed the final eight games.
12th Pick: Detroit Lions WR Jameson Williams: $15,161,000
Williams had an uneventful rookie season after missing the first 11 games to recover from an ACL tear sustained in the College Football National Championship Game as a member of the Alabama Crimson Tide and, upon returning, was not heavily involved in the passing game. He caught one pass on nine targets for 41 yards, one touchdown, and 40 yards on one carry in six games.
Williams had an underwhelming second season after missing the first four games due to a gambling suspension and, upon returning, was not heavily involved in the passing game. He caught 24 passes on 42 targets for 354 yards, two touchdowns, and 29 yards on three carries, and one touchdown in 12 games and ten starts. He also had six receptions on nine targets for 79 yards, one touchdown, and 42 yards on one carry and one touchdown in the postseason.
Williams broke out in his third season, boasting career-highs in receptions, targets, yards, and touchdowns. He caught 58 passes on 91 targets for 1,001 yards, seven touchdowns, and 61 yards on 11 carries and one touchdown in 15 games and 11 starts, along with one reception on four targets for 19 yards and 61 yards on one carry and one touchdown in the postseason. He missed two games (Weeks 8 and 9) because of a PED suspension.
PREDICTION: Detroit EXERCISES his 5th-year option because Williams broke out in his third season and makes a great complement to Amon-Ra St. Brown.
13th Pick: Philadelphia Eagles DT Jordan Davis: $11,457,000
Davis had a decent rookie season but did not receive much playing time, only playing 224 (20%) defensive snaps. He recorded 18 tackles, one TFL, eight pressures, nine stops, a 59.4 pass rush, a 71.8 run defense, and a 71.4 overall PFF grade in 13 games and five starts, along with four tackles and two QB hits in the postseason. He missed four games (Weeks 9-12) with a high-ankle sprain.
Davis had a solid second season, notching career-highs in tackles, QB hits, pressures, stops, and sacks, and saw the most playing time of his career, representing 519 (45%) defensive snaps. He recorded 45 tackles, two TFLs, five QB hits, 18 pressures, 22 stops, 2.5 sacks, one forced fumble, a 67.3 pass rush, a 62.2 run defense, and a 70.5 overall PFF grade in 17 stars. He also had two tackles in the postseason.
Davis had a solid third season but did not receive much playing time, dropping from 519 to 388 (37%) defense snaps. He recorded 27 tackles, three TFLs, one QB hit, ten pressures, 16 stops, one sack, a 65.0 pass rush, a 58.3 run defense, and a 66.6 overall PFF grade in 17 starts. He also had six tackles, two TFLs, two QB hits, and two sacks in the postseason.
PREDICTION: Philadelphia DECLINES his 5th-year option because although Davis is an important part of their defense, $11.457 million fully guaranteed for 2026 is a lot of money for a player in a rotational role, especially for one who has yet to play over 50% of defensive snaps one time. However, the Eagles could choose a different path and sign him to a long-term contract extension rather than giving him a fully guaranteed salary.
14th Pick: Baltimore Ravens S Kyle Hamilton: $19,626,000
Hamilton had a solid rookie season. He recorded 62 tackles, four TFLs, two sacks, and five pass deflections, allowing 36 receptions on 49 targets for 279 yards, one touchdown, and a 93.8 passer rating in 16 games and four starts. He also had nine tackles in the postseason.
Hamilton broke out in his second season, boasting career-highs in interceptions and pass deflections, earning himself his first Pro Bowl and First-Team All-Pro selection. He recorded 81 tackles, ten TFLs, three sacks, four interceptions, one pick-six, and 13 pass deflections, allowing 34 receptions on 63 targets for 166 yards, one touchdown, and a 38.4 passer rating in 15 starts. He also had 14 tackles and one TFL in the postseason.
Hamilton had a great third season, earning himself his second Pro Bowl selection. He recorded 107 tackles, four TFLs, two sacks, one interception, and nine pass deflections, allowing 42 receptions on 58 targets for 326 yards, one touchdown, and an 84.4 passer rating. He also had 12 tackles in the postseason.
PREDICTION: Baltimore EXERCISES his 5th-year option because Hamilton has developed into one of the league’s top safeties.
15th Pick: Houston Texans LG (OL) Kenyon Green: $17,412,000
Green had an underwhelming rookie season. He allowed 47 pressures, 31 hurries, 12 QB hits, and four sacks while posting a 27.0 pass block, a 47.4 run block, and a 37.7 overall PFF grade in 15 games and 14 starts. He missed two games (Weeks 15 and 16) with an ankle injury.
Green did not play at all during his second season. He underwent arthroscopic knee surgery to repair a torn meniscus during the offseason and missed OTAs and mandatory minicamp. He returned on the second day of training camp. Unfortunately, he suffered a season-ending torn labrum in the preseason finale.
Green had an underwhelming third season, struggling at left guard, missing time with an injury, and losing the starting job. He allowed 28 pressures, 19 hurries, four QB hits, and five sacks while posting a 39.7 pass blocking, a 44.6 run blocking, and a 38.6 overall PFF grade in 12 games and nine starts. He missed five games (Weeks 10-16) with a shoulder injury. Since coming back from the injury, he lost the starting left guard job.
PREDICTION: Houston DECLINES his 5th-year option because Green has not lived up to the first-round pick, struggles when he plays, and has not been able to stay healthy.
16th Pick: Philadelphia Eagles WR Jahan Dotson: $16,633,000
Dotson had a decent rookie season, posting career-highs in yards and touchdowns. He caught 35 passes on 61 targets for 523 yards and seven touchdowns in 12 games and ten starts. He missed five games (Weeks 5-9) with a hamstring injury.
Dotson had an underwhelming second season and was not very productive in the passing game. He caught 49 passes on 83 targets for 518 yards and four touchdowns in 17 games and 16 starts.
The Commanders traded Dotson to the Eagles before the start of the third season. However, he was not productive in the passing game. He caught 19 passes on 33 targets for 216 yards in 17 games and six starts, along with three receptions on five targets for 53 yards and one touchdown in the postseason.
PREDICTION: Philadelphia DECLINES his 5th-year option because Dotson has not lived up to the first-round pick, and $16.633 million is a lot of money for an unproductive WR3.
