Week 4 of the NFL season is underway, and it’s time to target some player props for the upcoming Sunday. The full player prop slate is not available yet due to injury reports. However, there’s still some worth targeting now. The Week 3 NFL Player Props piece hit two out of three player props once again. That’s three straight weeks with that result to start the season. Does the trend continue into Week 4?
RB Ezekiel Elliott UNDER 9.5 Rec Yards vs Commanders (-115 DK)
Yes, receiving yards player props with numbers this low are incredibly hard to pull the trigger. However, this one worth taking a shot on. The numbers show Ezekiel Elliott is not a part of the Dallas Cowboys’ passing game.
Dallas hasn’t called a lot of pass plays designed for the running back this year. And when they do, they want Tony Pollard on the receiving end of those play calls. Pollard has six catches for 69 yards on the season. However, he’s been targeted 10 times while Elliott’s only been targeted five times.
Meanwhile, when passes come Zeke’s way, he does nothing with the ball. Elliott has failed to surpass his posted receiving yards mark through three games. In fact, he only has three catches for -5 receiving yards. No, that’s not typo. He has negative-5 receiving yards so far this season. Could he reach 10 yards with one catch against the Commanders? Sure, but the numbers suggest its unlikely.
WR Courtland Sutton OVER 67.5 Rec Yards at Raiders (-115 DK)
Look, the Denver Broncos’ offense has not looked great through the first three weeks of the season. However, it hasn’t been all bad. There have been some bright spots. Specifically, quarterback Russell Wilson has developed a solid connection with wide receiver Courtland Sutton.
Sutton currently leads the Broncos with 19 receptions, 291 receiving yards and 28 targets. As a result, he has registered more than 68 receiving yards in every game this season. He has an advantageous matchup against the 0-3 Las Vegas Raiders this weekend.
Las Vegas has allowed 267 passing yards per game this season. Plus, they have allowed Mack Hollins, Zach Ertz and Marquise “Hollywood” Brown to surpass 67.5 receiving yards in the pass two weeks. Sutton’s capable of covering this player prop.
WR Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 67.5 Rec Yards vs Titans (-115 DK)
Despite the Indianapolis Colts’ offensive struggles, Michael Pittman Jr. will have the opportunity to rack up yards. The Indy’s top wide receiver gets a favorable matchup with Tennessee. The Titans have allowed opponents to average 256.3 passing yards this season. They’ve also allowed at least one opposing receiver to achieve at least 68 receiving yards in every game.
MPJ opened the season with nine catches for 121 yards and a touchdown against the Houston Texans. A quad injury prevented him from following it up in Week 2, but he was back at it against the Kansas City Chiefs. He had eight catches for 72 yards (68 yards came in the second half).
In two games, he’s been targeted 22 times. Quarterback Matt Ryan is constantly looking for him. Plus, the Colts are scheming plays up directly for him.
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