Last week, a rumor in sports betting circles surfaced that Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott wasn’t 100 percent this offseason. The rumor tanked the Cowboys’ over/under win total for the 2024 season, and it hasn’t returned to the pre-rumor level after ESPN‘s Todd Archer reported Prescott’s sprained foot injury was minor–for a reason that will trouble Cowboys fans.
Professional gambler Steve Fezzik with Pregame.com said last Tuesday on the Ross Tucker Podcast that bets were coming in heavy for the under on the Cowboys’ win total because of a rumor that Prescott recently had an MRI.
“Dak Prescott…news is he’s not 100% so they’ve been betting against the Cowboys the last 3 days…”
Pro bettor @FezzikSports explains the recent movement on the Dallas season win total on latest Even Money podcast: pic.twitter.com/hMhXugrjxG
— Ross Tucker Podcast (@RossTuckerPod) July 2, 2024
Dak Prescott had a minor injury
On Independence Day, photos appeared online of Prescott wearing a walking boot on his right foot, the same side that caused him to miss Week 6 through the rest of the 2020 season due to a compound fracture and dislocation of his right ankle. The sprained foot is reported to be a minor injury and is not expected to keep Prescott from being a full participant when training camp starts on July 25.
Where sports bettors are on the Dallas Cowboys now
GH contacted Fezzik for an update on the betting market for the Cowboys following the update on Prescott’s injury. (After all, the sports bettors broke the story.)
Fezzik said he had no insight to add to reports that Prescott’s injury was minor. Sports bettors have no reason to think Prescott’s injury will linger into the regular season. Sharp bettors (skilled sports bettors) took the rumor of Prescott having an injury as a freebie to hit the under because they were already low on the Cowboys’ prospects this season.
“Frankly, we were down on Dallas anyways and a little high on Philly, so it was a no-brainer to fire with a freeroll chance Dak might have a problem,” Fezzik said.
The Cowboys’ season win total was 10.3 before Prescott’s injury hit the sharp bettors’ rumor mill. They bet the win total down to 10.1 before reports of Prescott’s injury became public. The public then bet it down to 9.9 (under 10, -120).
“It’s stabilized there. No moving back up,” Fezzik said.
The stabilization has more to do with how poorly bettors think the Cowboys will do this season and less with how they feel Prescott will perform regardless of the sprained foot.
The Philadelphia Eagles were the smart bet
The sharp bet was for the Eagles to win the NFC East, Fezzik said. That bet isn’t as good now because many people have already hammered the Eagles.
“The key to winning sports betting is to get the best of the number,” Fezzik said. “You can’t wait for a market to move significantly and then expect to win being the last one to bet it.”
Fezzik’s point about the sports betting market sounds a lot like the free agent market, something Jerry and Stephen Jones didn’t want to touch in the first wave. The Cowboys will likely concede the NFC East to the Eagles because they were the last to make any moves this offseason.
Even non-sharp bettors know that too.
For More Football News:
Follow me on Twitter at @JordanSig. You can also reach out to Jordan Sigler via email at jordanmsigler@gmail.com. To read more of our articles and keep up to date on the latest in college and NFL news, click here!
