Week 7 of the NFL season got off to an entertaining start. It’s been a while since a Thursday Night Football game delivered multiple touchdowns, but that’s what happened. The Arizona Cardinals beat the New Orleans Saints 42-34 to open up the Week 7 slate. There are still 12 games remaining this weekend, which means plenty of opportunities to take advantage of some enticing odds. Hopefully, these bets do better than Week 6 selections.
Lock of Week 7: DETROIT LIONS (+7) at Dallas Cowboys
It’s a tough week to find a true lock. However, the 1-4 Lions is an enticing choice. Detroit is coming off a bye week, and they play well off those weeks historically. Meanwhile, the Cowboys are getting their starting quarterback back. Dak Prescott said he will return this weekend. However, it feels like people are making a big assumption about his return.
It feels like mean expect the Cowboys’ offense to see an immediate boost with Prescott’s return. Remember, Prescott and the Dallas offense did not look good in Week 1 before he suffered the finger injury. Yes, the Bucs defense is better than the Lions. However, it is still unknown how good the offense actually is with Dak this year.
On the flip side, the Lions also got healthier. Running back De’Andre Swift will likely return, and top receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown’s injured ankle should be much better. On top of that, Detroit plays well off bye weeks historically. According to Action Network’s Evan Abrams, the Lions are 14-5 ATS off a bye week over the last 20 years. So, seeing them as a 7-point underdog seems like a worthwhile bet to make.
Underdog of Week 7: NEW YORK GIANTS (+140 DK) at Jacksonville Jaguars
Hold up… The 5-1 Giants are underdogs to the 2-4 Jacksonville Jaguars. This is the one Week 7 line that is confusing. Yes, New York’s start has been surprising. However, it is strange to see Brian Daboll’s squad as a 3-point road underdog, especially against the Jags, who are rarely favored in a game.
Jacksonville has been favored just four times since the start of the 2020 season (39 games), and they are not good in those spots. The Jaguars are 0-4 SU in these games, losing each game by at least a TD. In fact, they fell to the Houston Texans 13-6 in Week 5 as seven-point favorites.
It’ll be difficult for the Giants’ rushing offense (4th in NFL) to conquer the Jaguars’ run defense (3rd in NFL). Plus, Jacksonville has the upper-hand at the quarterback position. However, New York has overcome opposing QBs in Aaron Rodgers and Lamar Jackson in back-to-back weeks. The Giants have found ways to win, and they can do that again; especially against a team that struggles as a favorite.
Best Week 7 O/U: Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins, UNDER 44.5 (-110)
There’s a big assumption being made about Tua Tagovailoa’s return igniting the Dolphins’ offense. That might not be case here. First of all, there’s no telling how Tagovailoa will perform coming off a scary head injury. And while everyone’s hoping for the best, there’s definite concern that he might not finish the game.
As for the game, these two teams hit the under a lot. The under is 2-4 both the Steelers’ and the Dolphins’ games this season. Pittsburgh has only played in one game that’s exceeded the current 44.5 total. On the flip side, the Dolphins haven’t scored more than 21 points in a game outside of their 42-38 Week 2 victory over Baltimore. With both teams having sturdy defenses and unknown quarterback play, it’s likely both offenses will struggle to put points on the board.
Player Prop of Week 7: David Njoku OVER 36.5 Rec Yards at BAL (-130 DK)
Njoku has quickly become an integral part of the Browns’ offense. Browns QB Jacoby Brissett has targeted the tight end at least five times in the last five games. As a result, he’s registered 50+ receiving yards in four straight games now. He’s got a good opportunity to extend it in Week 7.
He faces the Baltimore Ravens who have allowed 267.7 passing yards per game this season, which is 5th worst in the NFL. As a result, an opposing tight end has surpassed 36.5 receiving yards in four of Baltimore’s six games this season; including the last three games. This is a good matchup for Njoku to go over his receiving yards prop for the fifth straight game.
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