Recapping MNF’s O/U Prop Bets
Alright football fans, you’re going to like this one. If you’ve ever had to sweat out an NFL game in hopes of winning some cash, this one’s for you. Last night, the Kansas City Chiefs took on the Las Vegas Raiders at home, and came away with the win. As a Raiders fan, it was rough to watch. But as someone who knows a thing or two about sports betting, I’m a happy man. Without further ado, let’s break down how my picks went…
Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 Total TD
Before: As I mentioned before, the Chiefs are always heavy favorites against the Raiders. Derek Carr is 3-13 against Kansas City, and Patrick Mahomes is a large part of that. In his career, Mahomes averages around 300 yards and 3 touchdowns A GAME against the silver and black. Factoring in that it’s a home game on Primetime, I’m pretty confident this bet will hit.
After: Mahomes and the Chiefs started off really slow early on in the game. They couldn’t get anything going through the air or on the ground. But late in the second quarter, 15 was able to find 87 in the back of the end zone, pulling the game to within 10. Down 20-10 at halftime, the Chiefs looked to stage a comeback. In the third quarter, they did exactly that. After 14 unanswered points, the Chiefs had taken the lead. Oddly enough, those next two touchdowns would be from Mahomes to Kelce. Knocking out two birds with one stone, I guess.
Prediction: Hit
Travis Kelce OVER 16 Fantasy Points
Before: Travis Kelce is a safe stack option here, considering our last pick. If Mahomes goes off and has himself a game, his number one receiver will most likely follow suit. But aside from banking on Mahomes doing well, we can’t forget that Kelce has an impeccable track record too. Against Vegas, Kelce averages around 172 yards a game. In addition to that, he averaged 19.5 fantasy points through the first four weeks of the season. It’s highly unlikely that we see anything different tonight.
After: Like Mahomes, Kelce started off slow, but picked up pace later on. On the receiving end of a one yard touchdown, he was able to secure 10 fantasy points before halftime. Sure enough, in the third quarter, Mahomes would once again find Kelce. This time, they would not only put up six points, but also an additional six fantasy points. Kelce would surpass his projection midway through the third quarter. Wow.
Prediction: Hit
Daniel Carlson OVER 1.5 Field Goals
Before: This is by far my most confident pick. Carlson has been regarded as one of the best place kickers in the league, and for good reason. He’s consistently clutch, and rarely misses when called upon. As a Raider fan, we’ve always been gifted with great kickers, that’s one thing that’s never failed us. In his last five games, Carlson has hit this projection 100% of the time.
I hate to say it, but part of the reason Carlson has been so good is because of Carr. DC always drives us down the field, but can never put it in the back of the end zone. We’ve always been one of the worst teams in terms of red zone percentage, so this pick makes a lot of sense.
After: Sure enough, Carr aids in the success of Daniel Carlson. As a matter of fact, Derek Carr isn’t even the best “DC” on the team. That award belongs to Daniel Carlson. Knocking down a quick 50 yarder right before halftime, Carlson would surpass his projection, easily. Of all the picks, I had a strong feeling this one would hit, and luckily it did.
Prediction: Hit
Thanks for reading my article, I appreciate the support! If you’re interested in checking out more of my work here’s a link to another article of mine
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