All Analysis and Statistics are based off a PPR scoring format. The Average ADP is based of a 12 team league too. Rounds 1-5.
Round 1: Justin Jefferson WR Minnesota
Justin Jefferson has been outstanding ever since he came into the NFL. The dude has the most yards by any WR in NFL history in his first two seasons. Combine that with 17 touchdowns and 196 Receptions and he’s one of the best WR’s in the NFL already. There’s a new coaching regime in Minnesota as Kevin O’Connell comes over from the Los Angeles Rams where he was the offensive coordinator. We just saw the season Cooper Kupp had and there’s no reason Justin Jefferson couldn’t have a season like that this year. He’s got all the physical tools, he’s consistent, and he’s got big play ability. I think Jefferson is a safe yet high upside pick. Personally, I’ve been burnt by Christian McCaffrey the last two years. I want someone who provides more safety while being an explosive/dynamic player in the first round. At the 1.06 I think you have sure-fire top 3 WR with the ability to finish as the WR1 overall.
Round 2: Aaron Jones RB Green Bay
Aaron Jones is always one of the more polarizing players in fantasy football. He can win you weeks with some of his performances or lose you weeks by completely disappearing. While A.J. Dillion has ate into Aaron Jones usage a little bit, I think both running backs will be the focal point of the offense this year. Davante Adams leaving is going to change Green Bay’s offense for sure. With two really good running backs I expect the packers to adopt a run first offense. With that being said, they still have the reigning league MVP Aaron Rodgers. Adams departure leaves 169 targets on the table and while I believe this team will become more run heavy, Aaron Rodgers is still Aaron Rodgers. Jones, being the better pass catcher out of the backfield, will see much more usage as a receiver with Adams leaving. Last year he saw 65 targets with 6 receiving touchdowns. I don’t see why he can’t do the same this year and more with Adams gone. In PPR, Aaron Jones is a must for me this year. I think he provides you with the explosive skill set he’s always had with a potential for a more consistent output this year.
Round 3: Leonard Fournette RB Tampa Bay
I feel as I am missing something here. Why is Leonard Fournette a 3rd rounder? Fournette has been able to revitalize his career with Tom Brady and the Buccaneers since he signed with them 2 years ago. He had his best fantasy season of his career on a Points Per Game merit averaging 18.3 PPG in PPR. He just signed a 3yr/$21million dollar deal with the Buc’s too as they are committed to him as their starting running back. Ronald Jones left this offseason to join KC so there really is no one else in this backfield that will compete with fournette. What made Leo so good last year was incorporating him as a pass catcher. He had 69 receptions on a whooping 84 targets! He averaged the 4th most PPG last year out of all RB’s too. Being a 3rd rounder is shocking to me as I have a 2nd round grade on Fournette. His situation only improved from last year and Leonard Fournette may be my favorite pick in this years draft at the value.
Round 4: Terry McLaurin WR Washington
Terry McLaurin comes off a very up and down 2021. I think a lot of that is the up and down nature of Washington’s offense and their QB play. This caused Washington trade for Carson Wentz. Regardless of what you think of Wentz, it definitely is an upgrade at the QB position. I think while Wentz has his faults, he’s able to support an offense fantasy wise. Michael Pittman Jr. was able to crack the top 20’s as Wentz’s number one target. I think Terry McLaurin is a better WR than Pittman and has much more upside. Washington also was one of the more run heavier teams last year. While that might not change a lot, McLaurin is the best pass catching option on this team by a longshot. You’re getting him as the 17th WR off the board according Average ADP which is behind DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins is suspended six games too. Straight disrespect. I think you get Terry at his floor this year as I see him easily being a top 20 WR with top 10 upside. Wentz doesn’t have to be great to get McLaurin to that level as Terry has been able to be productive without great QB’s his entire career.
Round 5: Miles Sanders RB Philadelphia
This may be Miles Sanders last chance to prove he is Philly’s RB, but I think he will exactly do that. The Eagles had the highest run percentage in the 2021 and I don’t see that changing with Jalen Hurts under center. Sanders has battled injuries throughout his career and he hasn’t been able to take over the Eagles backfield. We have seen flashes from Miles Sanders though including last year. After Sanders came off the IR he was the clear lead back averaging close to 15 carries per game averaging 90.8 rushing yards per game. He also got very unlucky last year not scoring one rushing touchdown. I think we see some positive regression in that department, though Jalen Hurts will always be a threat around the goal line. Miles Sanders feels like he will be a very good value as you are getting him as the 27th RB off the board. Health is his biggest concern because he will get enough volume. In conclusion, Sanders is the perfect target for someone who wants to adopt the Zero-RB strategy. He provides massive upside being a starting running back in a run first offense this late.
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