Win Total: O/U 5.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +500/No -650
Win NFC West: +1800
Super Bowl: +15000
All odds and lines are from Draftkings
The Seattle Seahawks finish 7-10 in what was a very just meh year overall. Russell Wilson (traded this offseason to the Denver Broncos) missed three games which were the first of his career. The team overall just didn’t have the same firepower it had in years past. Just from the eye test, Russ didn’t look fully healthy all season. Even if he was, his offensive line didn’t give him much help which has been a common theme throughout his career. The offense and defense were about league average and that is pretty much indicative to how their season went. Something had to change in Seattle. The front office ultimately decided that it was time to move on from Russell Wilson as he may have also wanted out anyways. The Seahawks are going to look a lot different in 2022 to say the least.
Key Departures: Russell Wilson and Bobby Wagner
Clearly, Russell Wilson was the biggest loss this offseason for the Seahawks. Russ is forever a legend in Seattle as he came in as a 3rd round pick and was more than anyone could have predicted. He brought them to two super bowls, winning one and a Marshawn Lynch carry away from winning two. Russ has been one of the best quarterbacks for the past decade and he very well may be for the next couple years too. While they were able to bring back a good return, Russell Wilson is irreplaceable. Seahawk fans will miss him greatly. The same goes with Bobby Wagner. Wagner has been Seattle his entire career and has proved doubters wrong his whole career. Wagner is a 6x First Team All Pro and has been the anchor on Seattle’s defense. While it was a tough decision, Seattle released Wagner prior to free agency where they saved 16.6 million in cap room. Heading towards a rebuild, this decision may be smart, but very tough to cut ties with as he was still playing at a very high level. Wagner opted to sign with division rival and the reigning super bowl champion Los Angeles Rams.
Key Additions/Resigning’s: Noah Fant, Drew Lock, Charles Cross (Rookie), Kenneth Walker (Rookie), Rashaad Penny
Trading Russell Wilson meant there would be plenty of new faces for the Seahawks in 2022. Two of them come directly from the Broncos being Noah Fant and Drew Lock. Fant is an athletic tight end out of the University of Iowa. He has the potential to be a really good player the tight end position. We pretty much know what Drew Lock is. Maybe, just maybe a fresh start could be beneficial for him but let’s be honest, probably not. Lock is not the future here by any means but he’s a player they can give a chance this year until they find their next franchise QB. Charles Cross was picked ninth overall by the Seahawks in the 2022 NFL Draft. Cross was regarded as one of the best lineman in the draft so him falling to pick number 9 was a blessing for the Seahawks. They need to beef up this O-Line as it has been one of their main problems. Walker was the second running back off the board in this years draft being picked 41st. This was somewhat confusing to me. Rashaad Penny was coming off a really good back half of the year and the hawks choose to give him a contract extension. They turn around come draft time and select Walker with a early pick in the 2nd round. Regardless, Walker is a good prospect and should become part of the offense this year.
Well, if this offseason couldn’t get already worse for Seahawk fans I’m not sure this will be fun news to hear. The Seahawks come into 2022 having the 10th hardest Strength of the schedule according to SharpFootballAnalysis.com. The NFC West is not easy by any means then you add games against the Broncos, Chiefs, Raiders, and Buccaneers it’s going to be an uphill battle for Seattle.
My Picks and Analysis: Seahawks O5.5 Wins
This is not a sexy bet by any means but I think I’d plug my nose and take the over. While Seattle doesn’t necessarily have any easy schedule, there are winnable games on their schedule. They still have very good players at skill positions with D.K. Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, and Jamal Adams. While their QB play does scare me, I think Lock has shown he won’t win you games but he wont necessarily throw you out of games. If lock is a mess, Geno Smith still is there and has shown to be OK. There have also been rumors of a potential trade for Jimmy G. Regardless of who it is, I think they have a good enough supporting cast where they will be competitive in some of these games. Again, it’s not pretty and I wouldn’t be rushing to bet this but I believe this team is capable of 6 wins despite heading towards a rebuild.
Prop to bet: D.K. Metcalf O6.5 Touchdowns
This prop stood out to me as Metcalf has scored over 7 or more touchdowns throughout his career. Of course, that was with Russell Wilson though. While this Seattle offense might be hard to watch sometimes they still have valuable pieces including D.K. Metcalf. With a the QB situation uncertain, this doesn’t seem like a prop that would be intriguing. I tend to disagree. Metcalf’s biggest strength is his pure speed and size. He’s the ultimate deep/redzone threat with his skill set. Metcalf only had 16 redzone targets last year which is a solid amount but wasn’t near the top of the league by any means. I could easily see him repeating that even in a worse offense. Don’t forget he always has the ability to break one loose too. Surprisingly enough, 5/12 of Metcalf’s TD’s last year came from Geno Smith who only appeared in 4 games last year. Maybe we cheer for Geno Smith to win the QB battle then as we’d easily be on pace to hit! Nonetheless, 7 touchdowns is attainable for Metcalf even in a bad Seattle offense. They will have to throw more if they are down in games and that will lead to more volume and opportunity for Metcalf to reach 7 or more touchdowns.
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